Let's say you know nothing else about an appeal except it is being decided by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, and the case is a constitutional challenge to rent control. What's your best guess about the outcome (the district court dismissed for failure to state a claim)?
When the Second Circuit issued its summary order in just such a case last week -- a challenge to the "Housing Stability and Tenant Protection Act of 2019" -- we decided to undertake a little unscientific poll to see whether others out in the Twitterverse predicted as we did.
Looks like so. Yes, the sampling size was small, and the respondents were only those who voluntarily offered their thoughts. But 95% accurately predicted that the property owners would lose, as the Second Circuit indeed held in an appellate court's version of "laughing heartily" at an appellant's arguments: an unpublished summary order.
We could spend the rest of this post going through all of the reasons why the Second Circuit didn't find a scintilla of reversal in the property owners' arguments. But the Order is so short, you might as well read it yourself.
Short story: facial claim? Nope, no physical taking because you fool landlords let tenants in your properties. No facial reg take either, because "different landlords have greatly varying expectations." Order at 4. Rather than serve as an apt illustration of why the "expectations" part of the Penn Central test focuses on an irrelevant inquiry, the Second Circuit effectively concludes that reg takings claims can never be raised as facial claims.
Same outcome for the as-applied claims: no plausible allegation of a physical taking because there's still the possibility of getting tenants out, and owners are not prohibited from exit the rent-controlled market by getting out of the rental market; the law merely "restricts a landlord's ability to profit by converting a rent stabilized unit to a market-rate unit[.]" Order at 6. And, for good measure, these claims are not ripe because the owners didn't plead that they tried to get anyone out. As for the as-applied regulatory takings claim, the claim is not ripe because the complaint does not allege that the owners tried to take advantage of any of the non-futile procedures to obtain a hardship exemption. And even if ripe, the owners lose "on the merits." (Remember this is an appeal from at 12(b)(6) dismissal, so what "the merits" has to do with anything is beyond us.)
So what might the 95% response indicate? People have very good predictive powers? Our colleagues are as cynical and jaded as we are? Constitutional challenges to rent control are so lacking in merit and plead-worthiness that courts rightly laugh them out of court? The Second Circuit is predictable but in other circuits you might get a more balanced view?
Or maybe -- just maybe -- something else is at play here, and, like a lot of other courts have done before it, the Second Circuit isn't about to upset the apple cart and do anything to undermine what started off, like a lot of these things do, as an "emergency" measure now fossilized into an untouchable entitlement (but an entitlement that is not paid for by the taxpayers, but by private property owners)? In these cases, the lower courts aren't likely to do doodly-squat, and rent control cases will be pushed up to the Supreme Court until that Court does something more than repeatedly decline to review the issue.
Summary Order, 335-7 LLC v. City of New York, No. 21-823 (2d Cir. Mar. 1, 2023)
